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Anthony Horvath

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http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=paUniverse_sun14_parallel_universes&show_article=1&cat=0


At some point I reckon we're going to have to talk about this more than we have on this forum.  A number of thoughts come to me.  Here is the article... some thoughts in the next post.

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Parallel universes really do exist, according to a mathematical discovery by Oxford scientists described by one expert as "one of the most important developments in the history of science".

The parallel universe theory, first proposed in 1950 by the US physicist Hugh Everett, helps explain mysteries of quantum mechanics that have baffled scientists for decades, it is claimed.

In Everett's "many worlds" universe, every time a new physical possibility is explored, the universe splits. Given a number of possible alternative outcomes, each one is played out - in its own universe.

A motorist who has a near miss, for instance, might feel relieved at his lucky escape. But in a parallel universe, another version of the same driver will have been killed. Yet another universe will see the motorist recover after treatment in hospital. The number of alternative scenarios is endless.

It is a bizarre idea which has been dismissed as fanciful by many experts. But the new research from Oxford shows that it offers a mathematical answer to quantum conundrums that cannot be dismissed lightly - and suggests that Dr Everett, who was a Phd student at Princeton University when he came up with the theory, was on the right track.

Commenting in New Scientist magazine, Dr Andy Albrecht, a physicist at the University of California at Davis, said: "This work will go down as one of the most important developments in the history of science."

According to quantum mechanics, nothing at the subatomic scale can really be said to exist until it is observed. Until then, particles occupy nebulous "superposition" states, in which they can have simultaneous "up" and "down" spins, or appear to be in different places at the same time.

Observation appears to "nail down" a particular state of reality, in the same way as a spinning coin can only be said to be in a "heads" or "tails" state once it is caught.

According to quantum mechanics, unobserved particles are described by "wave functions" representing a set of multiple "probable" states. When an observer makes a measurement, the particle then settles down into one of these multiple options.

The Oxford team, led by Dr David Deutsch, showed mathematically that the bush-like branching structure created by the universe splitting into parallel versions of itself can explain the probabilistic nature of quantum outcomes.
« Last Edit: October 25, 2007, 08:07:08 AM by sntjohnny »
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Re: Parallel Universes, epistemology, certainty, atheistic and otherwise
« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2007, 08:06:05 AM »

1.  One of the first thoughts I had was Benjdm's vaunted 3 reliable methodologies, of which mathematics formed a component of as I recall.  Ben, is this what you had in mind?  Do you consider it a scientific fact now that there are multiverses?  If not, why not? 

Much of even the more mundane claims of QM are also nothing more than 'mathematical discoveries.'  Virtual Particles, the sole exception to 'everything with a beginning has a cause' are nothing more than mathematical constructs.  The Higgs Boson is inferred from math.  Many other particles which were inferred were later 'detected.'  If not, do you reject or think less of these others?

2.  Another thing that comes to mind is the general view held in some form by most of the atheists on this board is the refusal or inability to acknowledge that the Christian God is transcendent, and that this has a bearing on our expectations of evidence.  How is such multiverse thinking here not a acknowledgment that there is something 'outside' our universe?  And not merely that there is something 'outside' the universe, but that it is reasonable to think so?  Can we ever expect detection of these other universes directly?  No.  Does that seem to bother scientists?  No.  Does it bother them if we frame God in similar terms?  Yes.  What does this say about biases?

3.  Thirdly, I can see in response to #2 that the critical difference is that the multiverse is still a naturalistic accounting.  Let's tuck that away a second.

4.  Given that many atheists, like Dawkins and including ones on this board believe that the Christian God is categorically the same as Zeus, and Baal, and Ra, and other 'gods' and the fact that these categorically belong to the 'created' order somehow, then according to the multiverse line of thinking, it is plausible indeed to think that there is a universe in which such entities really do exist.  Or did.  So why not this one?  How do we know that we are not in that universe?

For example, it is also possible according to logic and QM that all of our elementary parts can re-arrange in an instant and who and what we are can vanish.  And re-appear.  And pass through walls.  Or hover upon water.  Or have us in a dead state in one second but alive in another.  In some universe, this very moment, each of us is vanishing just like this.  In some universe, all of the spilled perfume particles rush to back into the bottle. 

In some universe, everything we call a miracle and atheists mock as stupid and the result of superstitious and weak minds actually happens.  Why not this universe?  How would one know otherwise?

5.  In some universe, we really did come into existence in a flash just 10,000 years ago.  In another universe, we really did come into existence evolved over billions of years.  In yet another, we came in a flash but all of the evidence looked like we evolved and in another we evolved but it looked like we came in a flash.   According to this scientific advancement, we know this happened.  So, why not this universe?

Nevermind the derogatory arguments about God creating a young earth and then deceiving us by planting evidence of an old earth.  According to the multiverse, there is a universe in which this really did happen.

6.  Now back to 3, which really plays into all of them... why should it be preferable here to take the naturalistic account over any and all?  It is no use whining on about Occam's razor in other cases if you're not going to apply it here.  Reflect on this portion of the quote again:

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According to quantum mechanics, nothing at the subatomic scale can really be said to exist until it is observed. Until then, particles occupy nebulous "superposition" states, in which they can have simultaneous "up" and "down" spins, or appear to be in different places at the same time.

Observation appears to "nail down" a particular state of reality, in the same way as a spinning coin can only be said to be in a "heads" or "tails" state once it is caught.

What is more parsimonious, the inference that there is a single entity that is the observer that 'nails down' reality for us by being the Final Observer, or the inference that universes are branching off in all directions each and every nanosecond for each and every observer? 

The science itself, in uncovering the role of observer in defining reality, compels one to infer a Final Observer.  Invoking an infinite amount of undetectable universes to try to explain the same phenomena because you are hellbent on interpreting things in naturalistic terms is the very best situation for applying Occam's Razor.  If you do not apply it here and agree that one is rationally justified in inferring a single Final Observer you are not allowed to use Occam's razor in any other application, ever.  Your right to use it is withdrawn forever.  In all universes.  ;)

7.  Ben and Cop are among many others who say that mind=brain, that our thoughts reduce to matter, etc.  No dualism for them!  In that case, every thought, every decision, every argument, every conclusion reduce to matter and therefore are subject to this 'mathematical discovery.'

Therefore, we can say that there is a universe in which they have read this post and have been persuaded to re-consider Christian theism.  Why not this one?  ;)
« Last Edit: October 25, 2007, 08:08:09 AM by sntjohnny »
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Copernicus

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Re: Parallel Universes, epistemology, certainty, atheistic and otherwise
« Reply #2 on: October 25, 2007, 03:55:09 PM »

4.  Given that many atheists, like Dawkins and including ones on this board believe that the Christian God is categorically the same as Zeus, and Baal, and Ra, and other 'gods' and the fact that these categorically belong to the 'created' order somehow, then according to the multiverse line of thinking, it is plausible indeed to think that there is a universe in which such entities really do exist.  Or did.  So why not this one?  How do we know that we are not in that universe?

You are going way overboard on what the quantum alternate worlds hypothesis tells us.  It is not a claim that any universe you can imagine must exist in an alternate reality, nor is it the claim that some alternate universe must have gods in it.  It appears to be nothing more than an attempt to remove the paradoxical outcome of quantum indeterminacy.  Another way of putting it is that it restores determinacy at the quantum level, because prior states determine all possible future states.  The appearance of randomness is just a subjective phenomenon, because we exist in only one of the possible branches.  It's just that, given the state of the universe at one point in time, all of the possible outcomes actually happen.  You can, of course, imagine impossible ones, where pigs can fly and gods exist.   [smile

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For example, it is also possible according to logic and QM that all of our elementary parts can re-arrange in an instant and who and what we are can vanish.  And re-appear.  And pass through walls.  Or hover upon water.  Or have us in a dead state in one second but alive in another.  In some universe, this very moment, each of us is vanishing just like this.  In some universe, all of the spilled perfume particles rush to back into the bottle.

Don't forget that all outcomes are only possible outcomes of prior states of reality.  That doesn't mean that anything at all can happen.

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What is more parsimonious, the inference that there is a single entity that is the observer that 'nails down' reality for us by being the Final Observer, or the inference that universes are branching off in all directions each and every nanosecond for each and every observer?

I've never been comfortable with the claim that observation causes some kind of wave collapse (quantum decoherence), and I think that the many-worlds hypothesis does away with the need for such a conclusion, given experiments that appear to demonstrate wave collapse.  When a wave collapse takes place, that is just the appearance of indeterminacy.  What really happens is that a different version of ourself in a split-off universe makes a different observation.  This, at least, is my best understanding of what the hypothesis claims.  Ben, doubtless, has a better grasp of the physics than I do, since I'm not really a scientist in the traditional sense.

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7.  Ben and Cop are among many others who say that mind=brain, that our thoughts reduce to matter, etc.  No dualism for them!  In that case, every thought, every decision, every argument, every conclusion reduce to matter and therefore are subject to this 'mathematical discovery.'

This is a false statement about what I believe.  I do not claim that mind=brain and that "our thoughts reduce to matter".  I claim that the physical events in a brain cause mental events.  The mind is an effect of the brain.  Destroy the brain, and you destroy the mind.

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Therefore, we can say that there is a universe in which they have read this post and have been persuaded to re-consider Christian theism.  Why not this one?  ;)

Because, in this one, there is no evidence to make Christian theism a reasonable or compelling thing to believe in.  [smile
« Last Edit: October 25, 2007, 03:57:23 PM by Copernicus »
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Anthony Horvath

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Re: Parallel Universes, epistemology, certainty, atheistic and otherwise
« Reply #3 on: October 25, 2007, 04:23:58 PM »

"It is not a claim that any universe you can imagine must exist in an alternate reality,"

Which is not what I'm saying it says.

"nor is it the claim that some alternate universe must have gods in it."

Of course, The Multiverse would much prefer not to say anything at all about gods.

But imagine.  I take a step into a body of water.  There is a universe where my foot does not go in, but rather all of the particles in either the water or my foot re-align so that at any rate it does not sink.  And there is a universe where it goes in.  There is another universe in which my second step again is met, so that I do not sink.  There is a universe in which I walk across the entire body of water.  Such a feat, if you will pardon the pun, is one you dismiss as nonsense and being impossible.  It is the sort of thing we might say a 'god' might do.  But there is a universe in which it happens... actually, for anyone, at any time.

There is a universe where when I rush at the wall instead of bouncing off, I pass through.

"It appears to be nothing more than an attempt to remove the paradoxical outcome of quantum indeterminacy."

lol, well obviously.  I didn't think there was any question of that.  LOL

"You can, of course, imagine impossible ones, where pigs can fly and gods exist."

I don't think you understand.  These wouldn't be impossible at all.  The universes in which the 'gods' exist can simply be the ones in which the particles re-arrange in a fortuitous way so that they would do 'god-like' activity.

And it isn't that there might be such universes.  The multiverse would say that there are such universes.  Big difference.

There is nothing particularly 'unnatural' about particles moving around.  They do that all the time.  The odds are that given enough time and opportunity, every combination of movement will be realized.  An infinite amount of universes taking into account every different observation would give you that. 

Granted, few proponents are willing to extend it this far, but there is no stopping it from doing so.

"Don't forget that all outcomes are only possible outcomes of prior states of reality.  That doesn't mean that anything at all can happen."

And don't forget that there are universes accounting for all different prior states of realities as outcomes in their own right.

"I've never been comfortable with the claim that observation causes some kind of wave collapse (quantum decoherence), and I think that the many-worlds hypothesis does away with the need for such a conclusion, given experiments that appear to demonstrate wave collapse."

Not entirely sure I follow... are you saying you do buy the multiverse or not?  You should.  It is a mathematical discovery, a fact, if you will.  It is the greatest development in modern science.  Who are you to reject it?  Though if you do, I will still let you use Occam's razor.  ;)

There is a universe in which you don't reject it.  ;)

"This is a false statement about what I believe.  I do not claim that mind=brain and that "our thoughts reduce to matter".  I claim that the physical events in a brain cause mental events.  The mind is an effect of the brain.  Destroy the brain, and you destroy the mind."

I'm not sure there is a significant difference, but I don't think it matters.  The point would remain that the physical events themselves would obey the laws of physics, and also the laws of quantum mechanics, so that your mind will actualize every single possibility open to it allowed by the physical system.  There is a universe in which you are a creationist.  ;)

Didn't you read the article?  Look at the car accident example, but instead of the car being in an accident think of any given synapse or whatever.  Same principle. 

"Because, in this one, there is no evidence to make Christian theism a reasonable or compelling thing to believe in."

You only think that because in this universe your brain is so aligned as to think that, not because it is really true.  ;)

Of course, all this assumes that in all of these universes the same general laws of 'nature' are in play.  But I guess when you're permitted to posit an infinite amount of universes actualizing an infinite amount of observations you're allowed to pass over that problem.
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Copernicus

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Re: Parallel Universes, epistemology, certainty, atheistic and otherwise
« Reply #4 on: October 25, 2007, 05:28:05 PM »

There is a universe where when I rush at the wall instead of bouncing off, I pass through.

This is typical of your other claims, so I'll repeat my point.  The MWH claims that only universes that are possible outcomes of prior states can exist.  If you can't get from any prior state to the one in which you pass through a wall, then the MWH would not allow for that possibility.

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"You can, of course, imagine impossible ones, where pigs can fly and gods exist."

I don't think you understand.  These wouldn't be impossible at all.  The universes in which the 'gods' exist can simply be the ones in which the particles re-arrange in a fortuitous way so that they would do 'god-like' activity.

Again, the claim is not that particles "re-arrange in fortuitous ways".  It is that all of the possible outcomes from a prior quantum state exist in some reality.

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And it isn't that there might be such universes.  The multiverse would say that there are such universes.  Big difference.

You may be confusing the quantum MWH hypothesis with MUT.  There is a different "Multi-Universe Theory" or MUT that exists for cosmologists.  When Hawking talks about alternate universes, he is not necessarily talking about the MWH that your article was about.

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"I've never been comfortable with the claim that observation causes some kind of wave collapse (quantum decoherence), and I think that the many-worlds hypothesis does away with the need for such a conclusion, given experiments that appear to demonstrate wave collapse."

Not entirely sure I follow... are you saying you do buy the multiverse or not?  You should.  It is a mathematical discovery, a fact, if you will.  It is the greatest development in modern science.  Who are you to reject it?  Though if you do, I will still let you use Occam's razor.  ;)

I don't know enough to accept or reject MWH.  I find myself more comfortable with it, because I am more sympathetic to Einstein's views on determinism, even though they made the wrong prediction about so-called "local variables".  I do not have enough confidence in our news media to accept the claim that MWH has been proven.  That sounds like one of those self-promotional announcements put out by a university or research establishment that is intended to hype the work of its researchers.  I would like to learn more about this recent claim to see if there is actually anything new there.  MWH has been known and debated for decades now.  It is not a new idea, and it is not universally accepted.

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"This is a false statement about what I believe.  I do not claim that mind=brain and that "our thoughts reduce to matter".  I claim that the physical events in a brain cause mental events.  The mind is an effect of the brain.  Destroy the brain, and you destroy the mind."

I'm not sure there is a significant difference, but I don't think it matters.  The point would remain that the physical events themselves would obey the laws of physics, and also the laws of quantum mechanics, so that your mind will actualize every single possibility open to it allowed by the physical system.  There is a universe in which you are a creationist.  ;)

I'll admit to that possibility, but I can say that I'm glad that I'm not the version of myself living in that universe.  ;)

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"Because, in this one, there is no evidence to make Christian theism a reasonable or compelling thing to believe in."

You only think that because in this universe your brain is so aligned as to think that, not because it is really true.  ;)

Right.  I think that my brain in that other universe would be "aligned" so as to believe a falsehood.  [smile

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Of course, all this assumes that in all of these universes the same general laws of 'nature' are in play.  But I guess when you're permitted to posit an infinite amount of universes actualizing an infinite amount of observations you're allowed to pass over that problem.

Who said that there were an infinite number of universes?  Very large numbers are just very large.  They aren't infinite.
« Last Edit: October 25, 2007, 05:31:47 PM by Copernicus »
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Anthony Horvath

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Re: Parallel Universes, epistemology, certainty, atheistic and otherwise
« Reply #5 on: October 25, 2007, 05:45:02 PM »

"The MWH claims that only universes that are possible outcomes of prior states can exist.  If you can't get from any prior state to the one in which you pass through a wall, then the MWH would not allow for that possibility."

I don't think you are yet understanding my point and the multiverse itself.  A prior state is just a previous outcome from a prior state.  Whatever is necessary for me to pass through the wall can be achieved by adjusting previous 'prior states.'  Sure, you may need to go back aways, but you may not have too, either.  It is theoretically possible for our atoms to re-arrange into virtually any arrangement at any instant from any 'prior state.' 

"Again, the claim is not that particles "re-arrange in fortuitous ways".  It is that all of the possible outcomes from a prior quantum state exist in some reality."

That is not a claim of the multiverse, that is a theoretical possibility within the entire framework of the standard model, which is what the multiverse is derived from.

Can't talk more.  At least, not in this universe.  Dinner.

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Re: Parallel Universes, epistemology, certainty, atheistic and otherwise
« Reply #6 on: October 25, 2007, 06:20:51 PM »

Ok.  Just a few last thoughts.

First, I can't believe you're quibbling with me over the use of the word infinite.  I think the strict answer is that there are as many universes as there are different possible observations and outcomes.  The article captures that well:

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A motorist who has a near miss, for instance, might feel relieved at his lucky escape. But in a parallel universe, another version of the same driver will have been killed. Yet another universe will see the motorist recover after treatment in hospital. The number of alternative scenarios is endless.

Endless?  Sounds an awful lot like 'infinite.'  I am unaware of any particular quotes on the matter.  It isn't a hill I'm willing to die on by any means.  I think a very vast amount stretching out beyond the imagination is definitely in the ballpark.

And the second thought.

I think you're making light of the situation here.  You quip that in another universe your alter-Cop would 'falsely' be a creationist.  But if the scenario as laid out in the article is correct- and I have heard it in a number of places that many really think it is- then it follows that your current rejection is also merely just one possible outcome.  All we can say is that the Cop in 'this' universe finds it to be false.  What place do abstractions like 'truth' and 'falsehood' have in a construct that allows even a mental process to be plugged in...

"A [thinker] who concludes X, for instance, might feel relieved at his lucky escape. But in a parallel universe, another version of the same [thinker] will conclude Y. Yet another universe will see the [thinker] conclude otherwise after treatment in hospital. The number of alternative scenarios is endless."

What is the fundamental difference between different outcomes of macro-objects like automobiles flying down the road and whatever the equivalent would be in our brain that give rise to our thoughts?  If anything, one could argue that at the macroscopic level of the automobile perhaps the indeterminacy all washes out.  But that would not be the case for our 'thoughts' which many have suggested behave according to quantum rules.  It applies best to our thoughts; it does not apply equally as well to automobiles.

And finally, surely the most relevant question is... if something is in superposition until it is observed, causing another universe to strike out to make its fortune, just who, or what exactly is it that observes us so that we can be 'nailed' down in order to make the observations that we make?  Who is observing our brains in order for them to think?

Do we self-observe?  Or is there a final regress and so a Final Observer?
« Last Edit: October 25, 2007, 07:05:57 PM by sntjohnny »
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Re: Parallel Universes, epistemology, certainty, atheistic and otherwise
« Reply #7 on: October 25, 2007, 08:06:43 PM »

1.  One of the first thoughts I had was Benjdm's vaunted 3 reliable methodologies, of which mathematics formed a component of as I recall.  Ben, is this what you had in mind?  Do you consider it a scientific fact now that there are multiverses?  If not, why not?

No, I don't see how mathematics could possibly show such a thing to be true.  It can only show it to not be inconsistent.

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Much of even the more mundane claims of QM are also nothing more than 'mathematical discoveries.'  Virtual Particles, the sole exception to 'everything with a beginning has a cause' are nothing more than mathematical constructs.  The Higgs Boson is inferred from math.  Many other particles which were inferred were later 'detected.'  If not, do you reject or think less of these others?

I would have shrugged my shoulders at the inferred ones until they were detected.  I don't see what you're getting at - they were inferred, the prediction was made, and they were found.

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2.  Another thing that comes to mind is the general view held in some form by most of the atheists on this board is the refusal or inability to acknowledge that the Christian God is transcendent, and that this has a bearing on our expectations of evidence.  How is such multiverse thinking here not a acknowledgment that there is something 'outside' our universe?

Who disputes that there could be other things outside of our space-time universe ?

The evidence has led to a multiverse (multiverses ?  multiversi ?) as being proposed as one solution consistent with quantum weirdness.  It invents new universes ad-hoc (which is pretty mind-boggling) but doesn't invent much else.  It explains only a little.  I dunno.  In my younger days, I thought sure we would discover a big bang - big crunch cycle for the aesthetic and (relatively) simple picture it presented.  I was way wrong.

I would say this shows the weakness of Christian theism, actually.  Scientists are very OK with considering outlandish ideas if they fit the evidence.  Christian theism doesn't.

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And not merely that there is something 'outside' the universe, but that it is reasonable to think so?  Can we ever expect detection of these other universes directly?  No.  Does that seem to bother scientists?  No.  Does it bother them if we frame God in similar terms?  Yes.  What does this say about biases?

The two aren't comparable.  There are no new substances, no new undiscovered and unevidenced types of things being proposed in the multiverse ideas.  Just quantity.  Mind-bogglingly large amounts of quantity.

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4.  Given that many atheists, like Dawkins and including ones on this board believe that the Christian God is categorically the same as Zeus, and Baal, and Ra, and other 'gods' and the fact that these categorically belong to the 'created' order somehow, then according to the multiverse line of thinking, it is plausible indeed to think that there is a universe in which such entities really do exist.  Or did.  So why not this one?  How do we know that we are not in that universe?

How is that not a proposal that it reasonable to believe in anything you can dream up ?

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In some universe, everything we call a miracle and atheists mock as stupid and the result of superstitious and weak minds actually happens.

Not in the multiverse theories I'm familiar with.  They have the processes the same, the details different.

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6.  Now back to 3, which really plays into all of them... why should it be preferable here to take the naturalistic account over any and all?  It is no use whining on about Occam's razor in other cases if you're not going to apply it here.  Reflect on this portion of the quote again:

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According to quantum mechanics, nothing at the subatomic scale can really be said to exist until it is observed. Until then, particles occupy nebulous "superposition" states, in which they can have simultaneous "up" and "down" spins, or appear to be in different places at the same time.

Observation appears to "nail down" a particular state of reality, in the same way as a spinning coin can only be said to be in a "heads" or "tails" state once it is caught.

What is more parsimonious, the inference that there is a single entity that is the observer that 'nails down' reality for us by being the Final Observer, or the inference that universes are branching off in all directions each and every nanosecond for each and every observer?
How does a single entity observer solve anything ?
 
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The science itself, in uncovering the role of observer in defining reality, compels one to infer a Final Observer.
That doesn't make any sense at all to me.  Why can't reality be the fuzzy probability stuff ?

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Invoking an infinite amount of undetectable universes to try to explain the same phenomena because you are hellbent on interpreting things in naturalistic terms is the very best situation for applying Occam's Razor.  If you do not apply it here and agree that one is rationally justified in inferring a single Final Observer you are not allowed to use Occam's razor in any other application, ever.  Your right to use it is withdrawn forever.  In all universes.  ;)
What does the observer do ?  Our observations show that most of the time, the 'particles' are behaving as if they are not being pinned down - as if they really are spread-out.

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7.  Ben and Cop are among many others who say that mind=brain, that our thoughts reduce to matter, etc.  No dualism for them!  In that case, every thought, every decision, every argument, every conclusion reduce to matter and therefore are subject to this 'mathematical discovery.'

Therefore, we can say that there is a universe in which they have read this post and have been persuaded to re-consider Christian theism.  Why not this one?  ;)
Well, I asked me-this-universe and I/he said it didn't. :)


ETA:  Also, the fact that this was published in New Scientist sends up a red flag to me.  They are so new-agey as to be rubbish.  I'll see what shows up in my Discover subscription or in Scientific American.


« Last Edit: October 25, 2007, 08:21:50 PM by benjdm »
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Re: Parallel Universes, epistemology, certainty, atheistic and otherwise
« Reply #8 on: October 25, 2007, 10:31:14 PM »

"No, I don't see how mathematics could possibly show such a thing to be true.  It can only show it to not be inconsistent."

But Ben.   this is the most important development in science.  This is a mathematical fact.  Didn't you read the article?  ;)

I'll address this at the end in regards to your New Scientist remarks.

"I would have shrugged my shoulders at the inferred ones until they were detected.  I don't see what you're getting at - they were inferred, the prediction was made, and they were found."

Were they?  My first introduction to this weirdness was John Gribbon's "In Search of Schroedinger's Cat."  Excellent introduction to the subject.  Also an editor to Skeptic's Mag.  Here is a quote about the inferences, predictions, and 'findings':

Quote
In the 1930s, Eddington provided what are still some of the best physical examples of what this means [this=we have no idea what an electron is doing when we aren't looking at it], in his book "the Philosophy of Physical Science."  He stressed that what we perceive, what we "learn" from experiments, is highly colored by our expectations, and he provides an example, disturbing in its simplicity, to pull the rug from under those perceptions.  Suppose, he says, that an artist tells you that the shape of a human head is "hidden" in a block of marble.  Absurd, you say.  But then the artist, chipping away at the marble with nothing more subtle than a hammer and chisel, reveals the hidden form.  Is this the way that Rutherford "discovered" [synonym: found] the nucleus?  "the discovery does not go beyond the waves which represent the knowledge we have of the nucleus," says Eddington, for nobody has ever seen an atomic nucleus.  All we see are the results of experiments, which we interpret in terms of the nucleus.  Nobody found a positron until Dirac suggested they might exist;  today physicists claim to know of a greater number of so-called fundamental particles than there are distinct elements in the periodic table.  In the 1930s, physicists were intrigued by the prediction of another new particle, the neutrino, required in order to explain [emph mine] subtleties of the spin interactions in thsom radioactive decays.  Eddington said, "I am not much impressed by the neutrino theory," But "dare I say that experimental physicists will not have sufficient ingenuity to make neutrinos?" [emph his]

Since then, neutrinos have indeed been "discovered" [read: found] in three different varieties (plus their three different anti-varieties) and other kinds are postulated.  Can Eddington's doubts really be taken at face value?  Is it possible that the nucleus, the positron and the neutrino did not [emph his] exist until experimenters discovered the right sort of chisel with which to reveal their form?  Such speculations strike at the roots of sanity, let alone our concept of reality.  But they are quite sensible questions to ask in the quantum world.  If we follow the the quantum recipe book correctly, we can perform an experiment that produces a set of pointer readings that we interpret as indicating the existence of a certain kind of particle.  Almost every time we follow the same recipe, we get the same set of pointer readings.  But the interpretation in terms of particles is all in the mind, and may be no more than a consistent delusion.  The equations tell us nothing about what particles do when we do not look at them, [emph mine] and before Rutherford nobody ever looked at a nucleus, before Dirac nobody even imagined the existence of a positron.  If we cannot say what a particle does when we are not looking at it, neither can we say if it exists when we are not looking at it, and it is reasonable to claim that nuclei and positrons did not exist prior to the twentieth century, because nobody before 1900 ever saw one.  IN the quantum world, what you see is what you get, and nothing is real; the best you can hope for is a set of delusions that agree with one another.  Unfortunately, even those hopes are dashed by some of the simplest experiments.

Page 161 and 162.  It is a long section, but what I really wanted was the quote where he said that it was impossible to know if any particle has ever really 'discovered' rather than simply 'interpreted' by the mind of the experimenter, but it has been many years since I've read this.  This quote will do to make the point.

Are you really quite certain that they've found them?  What about the virtual particle, Ben?  Have they 'found' that, too?
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Re: Parallel Universes, epistemology, certainty, atheistic and otherwise
« Reply #9 on: October 25, 2007, 10:43:40 PM »

"I would say this shows the weakness of Christian theism, actually.  Scientists are very OK with considering outlandish ideas if they fit the evidence.  Christian theism doesn't."

This is a very fascinating statement that cuts to the core.  Let us see if we can fathom this.   Christian theism puts forward a point of view that is mocked and derided by skeptics for hundreds if not thousands of years.  Scientists discover that actually, the evidence is for a scheme that isn't so far off what the Christians have been saying all along.  Some how, this is a weakness in Christian theism, and a strength for the scientists.  Do you see how bizarre that is?

If I can guess at what you really mean, you don't like the authoritarian style of pronouncements that would come from a religious system like Christianity.  Far from being a weakness in Christian theism, it reveals an irrational stubbornness in man.  Think of it this way.  I am a father.  I tell my son that if he goes out in the backyard, he will find under a rock a hundred dollar bill.  I tell him where the rock is and how to get there.  All he has to do is follow the instructions, and BAM, a hundred dollars richer.

But my son is a modern-day skeptic.  He ignores what his father said.  He derides his brothers for trying to find the rock and therefore the cash.  He sets about methodologically picking up rocks one by one. Two thousand years later, he finds the rock.  He then has the audacity to say... "This shows the weakness of my brother's approach.  I applied a method, they just took my Father at his word."

That is essentially your argument.  The multiverse casts in naturalistic terms something akin to transcendence.  The Big Bang testifies to a beginning.  The Higgs Field, as I understand it, attests to immanence.  Left and right, scientists are regurgitating theological concepts in naturalistic terms.  The skeptic still has the audacity to disregard the theological concepts- some of which would have come via revelation- while consider them and think they are superior at the same time in their naturalistic garb.

Surely, if Christianity has been basically right about the nature of the universe and that there is something outside it, that is not by any means or any measure a point against.  Surely, the thing that matters here is whether or not the revelation can be trusted.  Is the Father in my parable trustworthy?   If so, our methodological son is not to be patted on the back.  The question becomes:  how does one determine if the Father is trustworthy?
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Re: Parallel Universes, epistemology, certainty, atheistic and otherwise
« Reply #10 on: October 25, 2007, 11:02:23 PM »

"".... So why not this one?  How do we know that we are not in that universe? ...""
"How is that not a proposal that it reasonable to believe in anything you can dream up ?"

Obviously that is exactly what it is.  But it is based on HARD SCIENCE!  A mathematical FACT!  The most important development in modern science!  I know you are trying to keep your distance, but this stuff is mainstream.  It is consensus.  Paul Davies is one person who has said exactly that, and if I can find my copy of Antony Flew's "God and Philosophy" I'd be glad to give the citation.

Clearly, this line of reasoning violates what I call my golden rule of epistemology.  Thou shalt not consider a worldview which results in questioning the very reasoning powers you used to generate that worldview.

"How does a single entity observer solve anything ?"

What does that have to do with it?  I was talking about parsimony.   A single entity observer, ie, GOD, accounts for the paradox that the many worlds hypothesis is trying to resolve.  My primary point was that if you were ever going to use Occam's razor to draw a conclusion, this would be the place.  If you don't draw it here, don't ever draw it anywhere else. 

Secondarily, though, If the question suggests that the cat can't be considered alive or dead, or even existent, until there is an observer, you can posit another universe if you like to account for all of the outcomes.  Or you can just conclude still that the observer conveys reality, but posit a single entity that observes us, and the cat when we aren't looking at it.

"That doesn't make any sense at all to me.  Why can't reality be the fuzzy probability stuff ?"

How about this:  Given the findings of QM and its strange implications, it is at least reasonable to prefer the inference that there is a Final Observer.

"Well, I asked me-this-universe and I/he said it didn't. :)"

See, you jest, too.  :)  But this is serious stuff.  It has obvious epistemological implications.  It seems to me that the real pinch of a problem was that the so called methodological naturalism of the physicists was in fact a cover for what was really philosophical naturalism.  If it was truly methodological naturalism, they would have arrived at the point they did and said, "Dang.  Observation conveys reality.  Who is observing us?  Does it regress infinitely?  Do we have any other theories out there that may provide us a resolution?  Oh yea!  God!"  The evidence here more than justifies that inference.

However, God as an explanation was not allowed on the table.  With no one to observe the observer, some other construct was required.  The result:  a system that stinks of transcendence and immanence... 'God' without the messy implications.  Unless you think torpedoing epistemology is messy, which I do.   

"ETA:  Also, the fact that this was published in New Scientist sends up a red flag to me.  They are so new-agey as to be rubbish.  I'll see what shows up in my Discover subscription or in Scientific American."

I already addressed this with my Paul Davies and Antony Flew remarks.  There is nothing I've seen anywhere that would suggest that this is not the mainstream view.  Perhaps not in this language, I've heard more than once the diatribe that QM is the most experimentally verified theory ever- in support of the Standard Model, of course- which the multiverse is consistent with. 

Those diatribes were usually the result of me asking them if the particles were really, actually, found.  Especially that pesky 'virtual particle.'
« Last Edit: October 25, 2007, 11:09:33 PM by sntjohnny »
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Re: Parallel Universes, epistemology, certainty, atheistic and otherwise
« Reply #11 on: October 26, 2007, 08:51:38 PM »

This stuff is wayyyy over my head.  I'll have to read and reread this thread over and over again..

ugh... the pains of learnings!
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Re: Parallel Universes, epistemology, certainty, atheistic and otherwise
« Reply #12 on: October 27, 2007, 12:26:56 PM »

Christian theism puts forward a point of view that is mocked and derided by skeptics for hundreds if not thousands of years.  Scientists discover that actually, the evidence is for a scheme that isn't so far off what the Christians have been saying all along.

What ?

Quote
Some how, this is a weakness in Christian theism, and a strength for the scientists.  Do you see how bizarre that is?

No, I'm trying to see how our current physics models in any way resemble Christian models from hundreds or thousands of years ago.  My mind boggles.

Quote
If I can guess at what you really mean, you don't like the authoritarian style of pronouncements that would come from a religious system like Christianity.  Far from being a weakness in Christian theism, it reveals an irrational stubbornness in man.  Think of it this way.  I am a father.  I tell my son that if he goes out in the backyard, he will find under a rock a hundred dollar bill.  I tell him where the rock is and how to get there.  All he has to do is follow the instructions, and BAM, a hundred dollars richer.

But my son is a modern-day skeptic.  He ignores what his father said.  He derides his brothers for trying to find the rock and therefore the cash.  He sets about methodologically picking up rocks one by one. Two thousand years later, he finds the rock.  He then has the audacity to say... "This shows the weakness of my brother's approach.  I applied a method, they just took my Father at his word."

Right.  Except a real analogy would have the father telling the son to look under a rock to find a hundred dollar bill, the son goes out, and doesn't find it.  The son keeps listening to the father and occasionally finds a hundred dollar bill.  Meanwhile, the skeptic figures out the actual pattern of which rocks have hundred dollar bills and which don't, and is much better able to anticipate which rocks will have money and which won't.

Quote
That is essentially your argument.  The multiverse casts in naturalistic terms something akin to transcendence.  The Big Bang testifies to a beginning.  The Higgs Field, as I understand it, attests to immanence.  Left and right, scientists are regurgitating theological concepts in naturalistic terms.  The skeptic still has the audacity to disregard the theological concepts- some of which would have come via revelation- while consider them and think they are superior at the same time in their naturalistic garb.

Oh, please.  You define the terms in gibberish for years and then say "Yes !  That's what I meant!"  But more on that later.

Quote
Obviously that is exactly what it is.  But it is based on HARD SCIENCE!  A mathematical FACT!  The most important development in modern science!  I know you are trying to keep your distance, but this stuff is mainstream.  It is consensus.  Paul Davies is one person who has said exactly that, and if I can find my copy of Antony Flew's "God and Philosophy" I'd be glad to give the citation.

No, the many worlds interpretation still has the same physical laws applying from one universe to the other.

Quote
How about this:  Given the findings of QM and its strange implications, it is at least reasonable to prefer the inference that there is a Final Observer.

<snip>

"How does a single entity observer solve anything ?"

What does that have to do with it?  I was talking about parsimony.   A single entity observer, ie, GOD, accounts for the paradox that the many worlds hypothesis is trying to resolve.

That's what I'm asking.  How does this single entity observer account for paradoxes ?  I don't see it.  What is the Christian theism interpretation of QM ?  Where can I find that model and compare its answers to the others


Quote
Perhaps not in this language, I've heard more than once the diatribe that QM is the most experimentally verified theory ever- in support of the Standard Model, of course- which the multiverse is consistent with.

As I understand it, quantum mechanics is pretty solid, mathematically.  Trying to interpret it in any non-mathematical terms is where it gets hairy, which is what the Copenhagen, Many Worlds, Consistent Histories, and other interpretations try and do (I read up a bit yesterday.  I can't say I retained much.)
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Re: Parallel Universes, epistemology, certainty, atheistic and otherwise
« Reply #13 on: October 27, 2007, 10:17:17 PM »

As I understand it, quantum mechanics is pretty solid, mathematically.  Trying to interpret it in any non-mathematical terms is where it gets hairy, which is what the Copenhagen, Many Worlds, Consistent Histories, and other interpretations try and do (I read up a bit yesterday.  I can't say I retained much.)

Right.  All of those interpretations are philosophical.  None are "scientific", strictly speaking.  Not until there are empirical consequences that can be tested.
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Re: Parallel Universes, epistemology, certainty, atheistic and otherwise
« Reply #14 on: October 28, 2007, 11:50:06 AM »

"No, I'm trying to see how our current physics models in any way resemble Christian models from hundreds or thousands of years ago.  My mind boggles."

Well, keep looking.  Remember:  Logos.

"Right.  Except a real analogy would have the father telling the son to look under a rock to find a hundred dollar bill, the son goes out, and doesn't find it."

But you've got a problem.  Billions of people do find it.   It isn't one or two or 'occasionally.'

"No, the many worlds interpretation still has the same physical laws applying from one universe to the other."

Understood, but there is no reason to believe that they really do.  Its not like anyone is ever going to see these universes to find out.  But I am still applying the same physical laws.  It is theoretically possible even under current quantum laws for me to walk into a wall and pass through it.  Very unlikely, but possible.

"That's what I'm asking.  How does this single entity observer account for paradoxes ?  I don't see it."

It accounts for the paradox by agreeing that the observer affects reality, but rather than speculating that each of us is branching off new universes with each new observation when there could have been some other choice- realized in a different universe- it posits just one universe under constant observation by just one observer.  God.

"What is the Christian theism interpretation of QM ?"

I'm not sure there is one in this sense.  But when you understand Christian theism you'll easily see how the 'observer paradox' doesn't have to lead us to the death of our epistemology but rather affirms our epistemology. 

"As I understand it, quantum mechanics is pretty solid, mathematically.  Trying to interpret it in any non-mathematical terms is where it gets hairy, which is what the Copenhagen, Many Worlds, Consistent Histories, and other interpretations try and do (I read up a bit yesterday.  I can't say I retained much.)"

Yes, that is what I have heard.  Solid, mathematically.  And that math says certain things, for example about thermodynamics.  The perfume particles gradually dissipate and fill up a room more or less evenly.  They don't ever gather, say, in just one corner.  This is 'arrow of time' stuff.  But according to the math of QM, it is possible, at least in theory, for the particles to do just this.  And if it is possible, then in some universe, if it is a possible observational outcome, it actually happened.  No special physical rules at all.  Just possibilities given our own rules.

But if it is possible, and actual in some universe, why not this universe?

That is 'death of epistemology' material, but it is escaped by positing that there is only the one universe we are aware of sustained by the word and thought of a single observer- God.  Could it be that quantum mechanics is simply the examination and exploration of the fabric of thought itself?  Ah, but you're ready for that.  :)  That's the 'new age' crap.  :)
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Re: Parallel Universes, epistemology, certainty, atheistic and otherwise
« Reply #15 on: October 28, 2007, 11:55:21 AM »

Quote
Right.  All of those interpretations are philosophical.  None are "scientific", strictly speaking.  Not until there are empirical consequences that can be tested.

So conclusions that are derived mathematically are not scientific?  Not strictly speaking?  You realize that Quantum theory is almost all math, right?  Even when it is 'empirically' tested it is only a matter of observational interpretation.  See my extensive quote by Gribbon.  Why should you dismiss the implications of the math as not strictly scientific if it tells you there are many worlds but accept it when it allows the creation of nuclear bombs?  Either the math is sound, or it is not.  If it is sound, I don't see what you gain by trying to deny its 'scientific' value?

Do you somehow feel like you can ignore the problems involved in this analysis because you feel like you can put it into a different category, the 'philosophical'?  The same tried and true math undergirds both examples (so we are told).  You don't get to put the material you're uncomfortable with into a different category just because you want to avoid the problems it raises for you.
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Re: Parallel Universes, epistemology, certainty, atheistic and otherwise
« Reply #16 on: October 28, 2007, 01:18:54 PM »

"No, I'm trying to see how our current physics models in any way resemble Christian models from hundreds or thousands of years ago.  My mind boggles."

Well, keep looking.  Remember:  Logos.

Sigh.  IIRC, this was mentioned several times in that Dembski article.  Ok, current physics would tell me I'm not going to have a peanut butter sandwich unless I assemble the bread and the peanut butter.  IIRC, we left it at Logos is speaking it into existence.

"Peanut Butter Sandwich."  It didn't work.  (True, I am not divine except that I am by immanence except that I'm not.)  I'll try praying and ask God to speak one into existence for me...no sandwich.  It didn't work.

How about this Christian physics model ?

http://www.fordham.edu/halsall/mod/1630galileo.html

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Sentence of the Tribunal of the Supreme Inquisition against Galileo Galilei, given the 22nd day of June of the year 1633


...We say, pronounce, sentence, and declare, that thou, the said Galileo, by the things deduced during this trial, and by thee confessed as above, hast rendered thyself vehemently suspected of heresy by this Holy Office, that is, of having believed and held a doctrine which is false, and contrary to the Holy Scriptures, to wit: that the Sun is the centre of the universe, and that it does not move from east to west, and that the Earth moves and is not the centre of the universe: and that an opinion may be held and defended as probable after having been declared and defined as contrary to Holy Scripture;

(emphasis mine.)  Bzzt.  It doesn't match up so well.  The Earth is not the center of the universe and does move.

Quote
"Right.  Except a real analogy would have the father telling the son to look under a rock to find a hundred dollar bill, the son goes out, and doesn't find it."

But you've got a problem.  Billions of people do find it.   It isn't one or two or 'occasionally.'

They find nothing at a rate that you wouldn't expect if Christianity was false.

Quote
"No, the many worlds interpretation still has the same physical laws applying from one universe to the other."

Understood, but there is no reason to believe that they really do.

?  What are you criticizing or referring to, then ?

Quote
Its not like anyone is ever going to see these universes to find out.  But I am still applying the same physical laws.  It is theoretically possible even under current quantum laws for me to walk into a wall and pass through it.  Very unlikely, but possible.

I don't think that's true, but the other example of the perfume is probably possible.  Let's stick to that one. 

Quote
"What is the Christian theism interpretation of QM ?"

I'm not sure there is one in this sense.  But when you understand Christian theism you'll easily see how the 'observer paradox' doesn't have to lead us to the death of our epistemology but rather affirms our epistemology.

So you're claiming the Chrstian theism interpretation of QM is superior to the many worlds interpretation when there is no such thing ?

(banging head)

Quote
The perfume particles gradually dissipate and fill up a room more or less evenly.  They don't ever gather, say, in just one corner.  This is 'arrow of time' stuff.  But according to the math of QM, it is possible, at least in theory, for the particles to do just this.  And if it is possible, then in some universe, if it is a possible observational outcome, it actually happened.  No special physical rules at all.  Just possibilities given our own rules.

But if it is possible, and actual in some universe, why not this universe?

From my limited understanding, that would be possible and actual in some universes in the Many Worlds interpretation.  You can do the math and see how many observations you would have to perform given a certain number of molecules of perfume and (non-perfume), etc. to get >50% chance of observing them gather in just one corner.  The numbers are ridiculously astronomical.  This is actually unaffected by the MWI other than some observers some where should see it.  But there should be many, many, many, many more who don't.

If it is possible for some person to win the lottery, and actual for some person, why not me ?

Quote
That is 'death of epistemology' material, but it is escaped by positing that there is only the one universe we are aware of sustained by the word and thought of a single observer- God.  Could it be that quantum mechanics is simply the examination and exploration of the fabric of thought itself?

Dunno.  I don't see it, but I'm no genius.

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Re: Parallel Universes, epistemology, certainty, atheistic and otherwise
« Reply #17 on: October 28, 2007, 06:02:04 PM »

"IIRC, we left it at Logos is speaking it into existence."

You don't see a connection between the idea that QM implies that an observer conveys reality while Christianity posits a method of creation where reality is held within the mind of God, brought into existence by God's word, his logos?

"I'll try praying and ask God to speak one into existence for me...no sandwich.  It didn't work."

Yea, that's right, because God is a machine, ain't he.  :rollseyes:  Praying to the Vending Machine God.  How nice.  ;)

"How about this Christian physics model ?"

That's nonsense.  Galileo was encouraged to bring out his ideas by other churchmen.  Fallacy of generalization.

"They find nothing at a rate that you wouldn't expect if Christianity was false."

That sentence didn't make sense to me.  I think I know what you mean, and I think you're wrong.  If you're like other atheists I've met, you think that if Christianity is true than Christians won't get sick or they can drink anti-freeze and live.  Or, you think that Christianity makes people behave better.

"?  What are you criticizing or referring to, then ?"

It's a passing point.  If you're ready to buy into a slew of fundamentally undetectable universes whether they all obey the same laws or not is pretty irrelevant.  It is a passing point because I'm not talking about anything other than the rules of our own universe.

"I don't think that's true, but the other example of the perfume is probably possible.  Let's stick to that one."

It is the same principle.  At any rate, there is a universe where that happened.

"So you're claiming the Chrstian theism interpretation of QM is superior to the many worlds interpretation when there is no such thing ?"

We're talking about something that not a whole lot of Christians talk about at all.  There is probably one Christian out of 10,000 that has even considered the matter.  However, they are out there, but it isn't formulated as an official Christian 'interpretation.'  I have submitted that the Observer paradox is perfectly resolved by identifying the Observer with God, especially as it already contains language in its texts that support that that idea.

"The numbers are ridiculously astronomical.  This is actually unaffected by the MWI other than some observers some where should see it.  But there should be many, many, many, many more who don't."

Perhaps.  There are all sorts of different permutations, thought.  All the molecules gathering in this corner, and that corner, in this spot or this spot, etc, etc.

"If it is possible for some person to win the lottery, and actual for some person, why not me ?"

No doubt.  In some universe, you win.  But I think you miss the point.  In the lottery example of course you see that it is not implausible that people win the lottery because after all, you see it happen.  When you have enough players of the game, the odds increase that it will happen.  So you don't declare a victory a miracle, and you wouldn't even if you were the victor.  But with the perfume, the odds are increased because, well, you have enough 'players' now, don't you, what with all those universes?

My understanding of QM is that any given atom or its components behaves according to probability.  Like our perfume molecule, there is a general probability that it will dissipate evenly with its brothers, but there is a smaller chance, but not out of bounds of the laws of physics, that it won't, nor will its brothers.  There is also a chance, though improbable, that as a ball is thrown at the wall, the molecules and atoms of the ball or the wall or both move aside to allow the ball to pass through.  This is theoretically possible even according to our own physical laws.  And with as many universes in existence as there are observations, the 'odds' are that there really is a universe that this happened.

For this reason, if you accept QM, as an atheist you cannot ever rule out the possibility that any 'miracle' ever happened, because within the many world's interpretation they happened somewhere.  And so, why not here?   You can't say it didn't, even according to the laws of nature as you understand them.  Why should our universe be such that it never contains a glaring exception to probability?  Or 100 exceptions?
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Anthony Horvath

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Re: Parallel Universes, epistemology, certainty, atheistic and otherwise
« Reply #18 on: October 29, 2007, 09:20:47 AM »

I found this link while investigating whether or not it was safe for me to use the word 'multiverse' as shot hand for the many worlds hypothesis (it is).  Some of the same themes are at work, and in particular in the last 10 pages or so Dembski draws the same point about God resolving all of the paradoxes that the various multiverse conceptions aim to resolve.   Since I am failing to communicate, perhaps he will do better.  You can skim it, but I wouldn't recommend it.  I think it is a worthy read all on its own.  Here it is:

http://www.iscid.org/papers/Dembski_ChanceGaps_012002.pdf
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benjdm

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Re: Parallel Universes, epistemology, certainty, atheistic and otherwise
« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2007, 12:24:10 AM »

You don't see a connection between the idea that QM implies that an observer conveys reality while Christianity posits a method of creation where reality is held within the mind of God, brought into existence by God's word, his logos?

My understanding is that the 'observation' that causes the probability wave to collapse is any interaction of the particles.  You don't need an 'observer.'  If there is a Christian theism model of QM that provides for fewer rules (like multi worlds does) or fewer entities (like other interpretations) or both, I'm open to reading about it.

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"I don't think that's true, but the other example of the perfume is probably possible.  Let's stick to that one."

It is the same principle.  At any rate, there is a universe where that happened.

No, there isn't, if the rules hold between universes and I'm right that it's impossible.  I'm pretty sure particles have zero-probability areas.

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We're talking about something that not a whole lot of Christians talk about at all.  There is probably one Christian out of 10,000 that has even considered the matter.  However, they are out there, but it isn't formulated as an official Christian 'interpretation.'  I have submitted that the Observer paradox is perfectly resolved by identifying the Observer with God, especially as it already contains language in its texts that support that that idea.

Of course.  Propose an ambiguous idea that 'perfectly resolves' it.  If it worked, why not publish it and increase our knowledge and understanding ?

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"If it is possible for some person to win the lottery, and actual for some person, why not me ?"

No doubt.  In some universe, you win.  But I think you miss the point.  In the lottery example of course you see that it is not implausible that people win the lottery because after all, you see it happen.  When you have enough players of the game, the odds increase that it will happen.  So you don't declare a victory a miracle, and you wouldn't even if you were the victor.  But with the perfume, the odds are increased because, well, you have enough 'players' now, don't you, what with all those universes?

Yes, exactly what I said.

"You can do the math and see how many observations you would have to perform given a certain number of molecules of perfume and (non-perfume), etc. to get >50% chance of observing them gather in just one corner."

Just like I can do the math and figure out how many millions of lottery tickets I would have to buy to have >50% chance of winning.  You could expand the configurations to include anything significantly different than random.  It is still expected to take a ginormous number of observations.

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There is also a chance, though improbable, that as a ball is thrown at the wall, the molecules and atoms of the ball or the wall or both move aside to allow the ball to pass through.  This is theoretically possible even according to our own physical laws.

On the perfume, I think you're right.  On the ball / wall I think you're wrong.

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And with as many universes in existence as there are observations, the 'odds' are that there really is a universe that this happened.

If MWI is correct, there really is a universe where every possible outcome from a previous state happened, yes.

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For this reason, if you accept QM, as an atheist you cannot ever rule out the possibility that any 'miracle' ever happened, because within the many world's interpretation they happened somewhere.  And so, why not here?

So now a miracle is something improbable that does not violate natural laws as we understand them ?  A little clarification, please.

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You can't say it didn't, even according to the laws of nature as you understand them.  Why should our universe be such that it never contains a glaring exception to probability?  Or 100 exceptions?

It should and does.  The observation that people DO win the lottery is trivial.



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